Wednesday, January 3, 2018

Things seem to be looking up in 2018…but don’t hold your breath

Let’s take stock of what are lined up to be achieved to make travelling or commuting around, to and from the metro and to other areas in the country before the term of this administration comes to an end—successfully or disastrously.

In line with the government’s Build, Build, Build program to usher in the “golden age of infrastructure” aimed to provide connectivity of the rural areas to key cities and to ultimately solve the perennial traffic in the metro, several projects, some mega in size, have been lined up by the Department of Transportation (DOTr).

Considered one of the most effective means to transport people, goods and services from the countryside to the metro and back, the railway system has taken center stage with the DOTr’s launching of the project to extend the Light Rail Transit (LRT) system to nearby areas in Metro Manila.

The LRT Line 1 Extension has started construction, extending the rail line from Baclaran to Niog in Bacoor, Cavite and aims to serve 300,000 riders per day from Parañaque, Las Piñas and Cavite once completed by the fourth quarter of 2021.

Meanwhile, the LRT Line 2 East Extension Project involves the construction of a four-kilometer extension of the existing system from Santolan, Pasig to Masinag, Antipolo. It is expected to reduce travel time to Recto, Manila from three hours by 30 to 40 minutes once completed by August this year.

Simultaneously, the DOTr also signed an agreement with Mitsubishi Corporation for the purchase of 120 new light rail vehicles for the railway system, with each train having a minimum of 1,388 passengers.

Then, there is the very ambitious Mega Manila Subway Project (MMSP), which is a 25-kilometer subway system envisioned to be an underground mass transportation system connecting major business districts and government centers. It is expected to serve 370,000 passengers daily in its opening year and targeted to start its partial operations by fourth quarter of 2027.

The construction of the first phase of the MMSP, which is expected to start as early as the third quarter of this year would cost P355.6 billion. Financed through an Official Development Assistance from Japan, it’s designed to have 14 stations from Mindanao Avenue, QC to the Ninoy Aquino International Airport.

Things are looking up for 2018?

Having been where I am for the past three decades, broadcasting and writing about motoring issues that involve transport and traffic management since the revolutionary government of President Cory Aquino to the present regime, I can’t help the feeling of déjà vu whenever a new administration takes over and announces the litany of things that are targeted to be done.

Having seen many promises ending by the wayside destined to be empty political stances or failed efforts due to nuisance TROs or government oversights in working out the rights of way, I have learned not to hold my breath lest I suffocate myself waiting for promised deeds to see their fruition.

All I do now, which I also urge everyone to do is to hope and pray always for our country’s best—great way to manage our expectations.

But let’s give it a chance!

They didn’t know what hit them!
Through the many years working closely with the automotive industry, I have inevitably established close professional and personal friendships both with its short-term expats and more so with career employees, most of whom I have seen grown from mid-level managers to top rank executives. As two-way trust has been established conversations need not be discerned between what’s on and off the record. And some of such conversations centered on the recently approved TRAIN (Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion), the final and approved version of which came as a surprise (that’s putting it mildly) to many in the automotive industry.

Industry observers who are not from within were also close to being aghast to what finally came out—what was seen to be a tax reform law that was designed to heavily tax luxury vehicles came out seeming to slash prices instead. On the other hand, prices of basic utility vehicles, which more of the car-buying public could afford are expected to go up.               

Many that are within the automotive industry who are negatively affected by the newly approved tax law are understandably mum about what they feel but instead are coming out with motherhood statements for their full support. I mentioned the trust that I have earned from many of my friends in the industry and I don’t intend to compromise my long-established relation with a lot of them by naming names. But I feel as a friend and a journalist, whose main concern is to bring out what’s true, it is my obligation to ventilate some of their feelings, major of which is, “They didn’t know what hit them.”

I understand that during the early deliberations, when major vehicle manufacturers and importers were being consulted by the legislators, the tone of the discussions was more of protecting the prices of vehicles that are affordable to those who buy for their necessity and heavily tax models that are considered as “toys of the rich.” What seemed to be approved was a law that would result to exactly the opposite.

I have asked my staff to come up with simulations of how the new tax law would impact on the future prices of automobiles and compare them with other published ones to see the common grounds. The combined simulations simply show that the more expensive the luxury vehicles are, the bigger the price reduction, while those models that are more affordable for the less affluent or the common motorist would have their selling prices going up.

I’m not saying that the law is flawed. I’m not in a position to come out with such a judgment. I can only ask if this is indeed the purpose of reforming the present tax structure.

And for my friends engaged in premium luxury vehicles, please bear with me. Knowing your business ethics, I’m more than convinced that you are not at all gloating over the misfortune of those who have been negatively affected by your “manna from heaven.” And of course, understandably, why should you ask or complain?

What I understood—and of course I could be wrong—was that the government wanted to unburden the less affluent of the populace of income taxes and in order to offset the government income lost from this laudable exercise, the government would burden the more affluent with additional taxes. But economic experts who are saying that the newly approved law is not going to achieve that are currently not few in numbers. And doing the simple math for the auto industry shows that’s not what’s going to happen.

Anong nangyari?

I can only ask, I cannot judge.

Happy Motoring!!!

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